Weak dollar, home sales data carry stocks higher
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By SARA LEPRO and TIM PARADIS
AP Business Writers
NEW YORK (AP) - The stock market ended a three-day losing streak
Monday, closing broadly higher as a weaker dollar and upbeat home
sales numbers encouraged investors to take on more risk.
Major stock indexes soared more than 1 percent, including the
Dow Jones industrials, which rose 133 points to a 13-month high.
Volume was light as Thanksgiving approached, and that likely padded
some of the market's advance.
Investors who fled to the safety of the dollar and Treasurys in
recent days found plenty of reasons to return to stocks Monday. The
day's developments pointed to two key trends, a recovering economy
and interest rates that are expected to stay low:
The dollar resumed its long slide, sending prices for
commodities including gold and oil higher and in turn, the stocks
of companies that produce them.
The National Association of Realtors reported that October
home sales rose more than 10 percent revived investors' optimism
after disappointing data on the housing industry last week raised
concerns about the strength of the economic recovery.
Charles Evans, head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago,
was quoted as saying he saw little risk that the economy would
slide back into recession, although unemployment is unlikely to
fall until next summer. And James Bullard, president of the Federal
Reserve Bank in St. Louis, said the U.S. Fed should continue to buy
mortgage-backed securities after the program is supposed to expire
in March. That would continue to keep interest rates low.
Meanwhile, bond prices retreated as investors regained their
appetite for risk.
Low interest rates and the resulting slide in the dollar have
been big drivers behind the stock market's eight-month rally. Low
interest rates allow investors to borrow cheaply and buy assets
like stocks and commodities that have the potential to earn higher
yields than cash.
Investors were buying Monday on somewhat contradictory forces.
The strength in housing is a sign of an improving economy, which
could argue in favor of raising rates, while the dollar's weakness
points to rates remaining low. Analysts say investors who still
have plenty of available cash are primed to buy, and so the market
may also be rising on its own momentum.
Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated
Investors, said some investors will look for dips in the rally as a
way to get into the market, not wanting to end the year without
participating in some of the big gains stocks have made.
``Bearish managers are sweating bullets that they're not going
to be able to get that cash in the market and they need to do
that,'' he said. ``That is why any pullback we've seen this year
has been met with a wave of cash that has pushed stocks up
higher.''
At the same time, many portfolio managers have cooled their
buying, not wanting to risk losing the big returns they've made
since stocks began rallying in March. Those opposing forces are
likely to result in choppy trading over the next few weeks,
analysts said, which will be exacerbated by light volume as the
holidays approach.
The Dow rose 132.79, or 1.3 percent, to 10,450.95, after losing
120 points over the previous three days. It was the Dow's highest
close since Oct. 2, 2008.
The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 14.86, or 1.4 percent, to
1,106.24, while the Nasdaq composite index rose 29.97, or 1.4
percent, to 2,176.01. The index is up 63.5 percent from a 12-year
low in March.
Four stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock
Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 3.9 billion shares,
compared with 3.8 billion Friday.
The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, a measure of the dollar
against other major currencies, fell 0.7 percent. As the dollar
fell, gold prices surged to a new high of $1,174 an ounce. Oil rose
9 cents to $77.56 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The spike in commodities lifted energy companies and materials
producers. Chevron Corp. rose $1.97, or 2.6 percent, to $78.74.
Weyerhaeuser Co. gained $1.25, or 3.3 percent, to $39.11.
Bond prices were mixed. The yield on the benchmark 10-year
Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.36 percent
from 3.37 percent late Friday. The yield on the three-month T-bill,
considered one of the safest investments, rose to 0.02 percent from
0.01 percent.
The yield on the three-month bill briefly turned negative last
week as worries about the economy took hold and investors retreated
to safe havens like the dollar and government debt as they sold
stocks.
Investors wanting to lock in profits for the year are willing to
earn little to park their cash somewhere safe.
``It's not a time for taking chances,'' said Quincy Krosby,
market strategist at Prudential Financial.
The National Association of Realtors said home sales rose 10.1
percent in October to the highest level in two and a half years,
spurred by a tax credit for first-time homebuyers. Analysts had
been expecting a 1.4 percent increase in sales. The credit, due to
end at the end of the month, has been extended into 2010.
``You could be completely cynical and say this market is moving
up today because volume is low and the dollar is weak, but I would
have to add that we're getting confirmation on the sustainability
of the economic recovery by the actual fundamentals,'' Krosby said,
referring to the housing report.
In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies
rose 10.13, or 1.7 percent, to 594.81.
Overseas, Britain's FTSE 100 rose 2 percent, Germany's DAX index
soared 2.4 percent, and France's CAC-40 jumped 2.3 percent. Markets
in Japan were closed for a holiday.
11/23/09 18:02
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